Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000154 0.000170 0.000188 0.000208 0.000231 0.000257 0.000286
2025-04-13 0.000115 0.000137 0.000163 0.000196 0.000235 0.000283 0.000344
2025-04-20 0.000098 0.000123 0.000154 0.000195 0.000250 0.000320 0.000418
2025-04-27 0.000087 0.000114 0.000149 0.000199 0.000268 0.000363 0.000503
2025-05-04 0.000077 0.000105 0.000143 0.000198 0.000279 0.000395 0.000577
2025-05-11 0.000071 0.000099 0.000139 0.000200 0.000293 0.000433 0.000663
2025-05-18 0.000064 0.000093 0.000134 0.000199 0.000302 0.000462 0.000741
2025-05-25 0.000059 0.000087 0.000129 0.000197 0.000309 0.000491 0.000820
2025-06-01 0.000054 0.000082 0.000124 0.000194 0.000314 0.000516 0.000896
2025-06-08 0.000049 0.000075 0.000117 0.000188 0.000312 0.000527 0.000949
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000073 0.000115 0.000190 0.000325 0.000567 0.001059
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000194 0.000341 0.000614 0.001193
2025-06-29 0.000041 0.000066 0.000109 0.000189 0.000341 0.000631 0.001271
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000060 0.000101 0.000179 0.000331 0.000631 0.001313
2025-07-13 0.000034 0.000058 0.000099 0.000179 0.000341 0.000670 0.001452
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000056 0.000099 0.000183 0.000357 0.000726 0.001638
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000182 0.000365 0.000763 0.001788
2025-08-03 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000184 0.000378 0.000815 0.001982
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000050 0.000092 0.000182 0.000384 0.000851 0.002146
2025-08-17 0.000026 0.000048 0.000090 0.000181 0.000390 0.000887 0.002316
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000179 0.000393 0.000917 0.002475
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000173 0.000387 0.000923 0.002566
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000175 0.000401 0.000983 0.002833